This is the latest ECMWF numerical weather modelling track map for soon-to-be Tropical Cyclone Alfred over the next 5 days (23 - 28/02). The system is expected to intensify dramatically over the next few days and could reach a severe ⚠️CAT 3 intensity as it travels south into the central and southern Coral Sea. Once the system does become a cyclone, I'll start posting regular ADVICE AND WARNINGS. There is a moderate risk of coastal impact in the long term, but it will most likely occur as either